German Press: Attack on Teheran?

The American sociologist Norman Birnbaum initiates his commentary on relationship of western countries with Iran published today in Tageszeitung. Birnbaum thinks that the Iranian government is adopting that aggressive facilities sometimes inherited by the USSR in its relations with the West. Whereas the Soviet Union was ready to discuss some Western proposals, the Western capitals generally reacted embarrassedly unless in a panic way. The same thing is with the Iranian agreement to enrich Uranium abroad – they see the decoy in it.

The academic goes on that the West has no whatever strategy of communication with Iran: either inadmissible claims or condemns. Both this things push the Iranian Government to take more unpredictable steps.

The USA has three alternatives on Iran. First of all is to act more or less instantly “in ideological simplicity” of Bush and Chaney. The alternative way, that now Obama is adhered to, is an attempt to retract the attack against Iran on an uncertain term and at the same time to impact the thoughts of more severe sanctions.

The alternative way has the following advantages Birnbaum explains: as long the Armed Forces of the United States are residing in Afghanistan, Iraq and Pakistan, the invasion into Iran is considered to be a risky business. The sanctions must compensate the military weakness.

No sanctions are to be implemented the sociologist continues – the China is not agreed with that American weapons delivery to Taiwan. Russia can show its stubbornness as well. That is why many members of the US government are calling to render such a pressure on Iran hoping for the possibility of the regime change. This is the third variant, but from Birnbaum’s point of view it is impossible.

He things, that the best decision for the USA will be to fall into line with Iran’s claim to play the role of the regional force, to reduce oil consumption, to lessen its peculiar bloated presence in the Middle East and to reduce its overstated military budget. The sociologist comes to conclusion that for that end the USA need a president supported by the majority.